Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.891659 4.181982 4.492244 4.849986 5.252988 5.695163 6.220087
2025-04-20 3.384273 3.784654 4.240077 4.802464 5.486847 6.304296 7.372946
2025-04-27 3.148106 3.620380 4.182091 4.912050 5.855340 7.063043 8.779657
2025-05-04 2.977399 3.499282 4.142226 5.013157 6.197004 7.807958 10.281996
2025-05-11 2.797316 3.342291 4.032069 4.997450 6.364530 8.322394 11.540794
2025-05-18 2.638589 3.195565 3.916479 4.953631 6.475282 8.756095 12.749904
2025-05-25 2.470369 3.022373 3.749046 4.816869 6.427611 8.932061 13.554790
2025-06-01 2.338580 2.887980 3.622640 4.723863 6.429538 9.178067 14.528148
2025-06-08 2.255308 2.813053 3.571525 4.733305 6.586320 9.695748 16.138477
2025-06-15 2.199579 2.771675 3.563266 4.803493 6.844345 10.423986 18.387902
2025-06-22 2.081458 2.636679 3.411861 4.640864 6.697132 10.391666 18.946931
2025-06-29 1.988562 2.532890 3.300058 4.531684 6.629204 10.497437 19.862866
2025-07-06 1.902201 2.437922 3.201041 4.443765 6.603891 10.711304 21.205877
2025-07-13 1.832991 2.365099 3.131948 4.400580 6.656763 11.099275 23.197044
2025-07-20 1.804330 2.349360 3.147333 4.496298 6.973147 12.100138 27.466006
2025-07-27 1.775807 2.331954 3.158393 4.584591 7.285793 13.164505 32.677150
2025-08-03 1.726097 2.280376 3.112814 4.570880 7.395966 13.780573 36.767161
2025-08-10 1.674540 2.223691 3.055959 4.532616 7.451374 14.274452 40.792452
2025-08-17 1.609052 2.143299 2.957395 4.413041 7.325362 14.277068 42.655292
2025-08-24 1.555487 2.079284 2.882478 4.331590 7.272213 14.467356 45.661846
2025-08-31 1.523403 2.047095 2.857654 4.339864 7.412889 15.224737 52.561899
2025-09-07 1.503568 2.032998 2.861564 4.401333 7.678069 16.414315 63.989252
2025-09-14 1.445890 1.957757 2.760856 4.258813 7.465830 16.112517 64.743167